RESEARCH AND FORECASTING OF THE STATE OF LABOR RESOURCE POTENTIAL OF DNIPROPETROVSK REGION
Abstract
The purpose of the study is the current state of labor potential of Dnipropetrovsk region and to determine the main ways to increase its efficiency. The research methodology is statistical modeling. As a result of work the current state of labor potential of Dnipropetrovsk region is studied and the main ways to increase its efficiency are identified. A systematic analysis of the statistical information base was carried out, on the basis of which an appropriate matrix of observation indicators was formed. The key indicators of the developed system are those that characterize the volume, structure, quality and efficiency of economic, environmental and human resources. Regression analysis was used to extrapolate trends that determine the change in indicators over time, describe their development dynamics and analytical trend. The projected values of indicators are determined on the basis of the trend model. It takes into account the deterministic and stochastic components, which are determined by known and random factors. Based on systematized information, statistical analysis, developed a number of economic and mathematical models of labor resources in the region and built and studied the adequacy of a generalized mathematical model of the level of labor potential, which is forecast. The numerical and analytical analysis conducted shows that along with the growth of the demographic and environmental level of development, the indicators of economic and educational levels are declining due to the decrease in the number of staff and the decline in education. The conducted model forecasting allows us to state that timely consideration of such a negative trend and its systematic elimination will improve the quality of labor potential of the region and create all opportunities for the development of production systems with high labor intensity. The practical significance of the research results is to determine the method of modeling the labor potential of the region and mechanisms to improve its quality, which allows to create all opportunities for sustainable economic development of the region and promotes social stability.
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